澳洲30年房产趋势报告 (Aussie Progress Report March 2022)

5年前,我写了一篇blog,关于“澳洲25年房产趋势报告”。

最近Aussie.com.au又出了一份新的“澳洲房产30年趋势报告”,里面用的数据是澳洲最大的房产数据报告网站Corelogic的。我从头到尾看了一遍,挑一些有意思的点来分享一下。

这份报告可以在这个链接下载,澳洲房产投资者如果有兴趣的可以去下载一份仔细阅读。

Australian house values increased 414.6% in the past 30 years, compared to growth of 293.1% across Australian units. 30 year annualised growth for houses and units were 5.6% and 4.7% respectively.

澳洲house的价格在过去的30年增加了414.6%,相比较unit的价格增长了293.1%。年化增长分别为house 5.6%,unit 4.7%。

Dwellings across the combined capital cities increased 414.9% in value over the past 30 years, compared to 278.0% in the combined regions. 30 year annualised growth was 5.6% across the combined capitals, and 4.5% across the combined regional market.

澳洲首府城市在过去30年房价增长了414.9%,相比较所有二级和以下城市增长为278.0%。年化增长分别为首府城市 5.6%,二级及以下 4.5%。

Across the greater capital city and regional markets, the highest increase in values over a 30 year period was across Sydney, where capital growth over the past 30 years was 475.1%, and annualised growth was 6.0%. The lowest capital growth returns in the period were across regional WA, where dwelling values rose 207.5% in the past 30 years, with an annualised growth rate of 3.8%.

纵观整个澳洲房产市场,过去30年增值最高的是悉尼,资产增值为475.1%,年化增长6.0%,增值最差的是西澳(WA)的偏远地区,资产增值207.5%,年化3.8%。

Australian dwelling values over the past 30 years. Over this time frame, there have been 7 periods of sustained increase in values at the national level, and 7 periods of decline. Value increases over the course of these cycles have an average length of 41 months, with average cumulative growth of 34%. Comparatively, periods of peak-to-trough declines have on average lasted 12 months, with an average fall in values of -4.3%.

过去的30年澳洲有7次全国性房产持续增值期,平均持续时间41个月,平均累积增长34%。相对应的,下跌期平均为12个月,平均跌幅为-4.3%

The time taken to save a 20% deposit at the national level has increased from 5.8 years to 10.2 years in the same period.

从澳洲全国范围来看,存20%首付所需的时间,从(30年前的)5.8年增加到了现在的10.2年。

报告里还有很多有趣的数据,比如澳洲两大城市 – 悉尼,墨尔本的高端,中段,地段房产区域分别在哪里,和它们30年以来的增幅。

澳洲过去的一些房产周期和它们的特点,贷款利率对房产价格的影响,已经对澳洲未来房产市场的一些预测和观察,等等。

有兴趣的读者可以去我上面提供的官网链接,下载这个报告来看一下。